2012 Contenders

May 2011 Update:  A few things have taken place since the last update.  In April, Haley Barbour passed up the opportunity to run.  This move shocked most of the Republican party establishment, who believed that he had a serious chance and would at least make an attempt at the nomination.  Also in April, a sideshow candidate that I won’t name or add to my rankings stole a lot of media attention for a few weeks with wild plans and crazy accusations.  A few polls showed him leading the field, but recent events have caused him to fade from the forefront, and he has since announced that he will not run.  Early this month, our government succeeded in finding and killing Osama bin Laden.  This event led to a surge of support for President Obama and left the nascent Republican field off balance (I have no doubt that this will be politically short-lived.  Anyone who says that this ensures his re-election does not know history and should not be relied on for political or historical insight).  We have also seen the first primary debate of the 2012 season.  I don’t hesitate to use words like circus, sideshow or carnival to describe the South Carolina debate which included mostly second-tier, longshot candidates.  I hope the field, format and substance gets better as primary season rolls on.  Since that debate, Newt Gingrich officially joined the race for president, Mike Huckabee has dropped out and Daniels and Huntsman have been making moves that lead some to believe that they will run.  Without further ado, here are the rankings:

May 2011 Rankings

  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Tim Pawlenty
  3. Mitch Daniels
  4. Newt Gingrich
  5. Rick Santorum
  6. Jon Huntsman
  7. Sarah Palin
  8. Chris Christie
  9. Mike Huckabee
  10. Haley Barbour

March 2011 Update:  Not much has changed this month.  One potential candidate formed an exploratory committee (Pawlenty, he’s basically officially in), one candidate fumblingly announced that he was exploring the possibility of forming an exploratory committee (Gingrich), and a couple of others have intensified their 2012 activities.  Some presidential prospects that I haven’t included could prove formidable enough to make it into my top ten.  Time will tell, but for now here are the current rankings:

March 2011 Rankings

  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Tim Pawlenty
  3. Haley Barbour
  4. Mitch Daniels
  5. Newt Gingrich
  6. Mike Huckabee
  7. Sarah Palin
  8. Jon Huntsman
  9. Chris Christie
  10. Rick Santorum

Original Entry:  While the 2012 presidential election is still more than 20 months away and the Republican primaries are about a year away, the contest has already begun.  Candidates are defining their policy positions, travelling around the country to build support and raising money.  The eventual nominee will gain the chance to take on President Obama  in November 2012(assuming he is re-nominated by the Democrats).  I’m including here my rankings of the candidates most likely to win the Republican nomination.  By clicking the candidates name, you’ll be led to their info page where I’ll give a short overview of the candidate.  More information will be added as the contest unfolds.  I plan to change the rankings each month between now and the the time the nominee is chosen.  Feel free to Join the Discourse by adding any thoughts or comments about the candidates, issues or election or anything else related.

February 2011 Rankings

  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Tim Pawlenty
  3. Mitch Daniels
  4. Haley Barbour
  5. Mike Huckabee
  6. Sarah Palin
  7. Newt Gingrich
  8. Chris Christie
  9. Jon Huntsman
  10. Rick Santorum
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